Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 809:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 11 April 2026

· Analysis updated 13:09 UTC

Hannover 96 U19 vs Kaiserslautern U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 2.10 for Kaiserslautern U19, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Kaiserslautern U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.93 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hannover 96 U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kaiserslautern U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 36% / 21% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.93 goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 2.10 for Kaiserslautern U19, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 U19 win36%
Draw21%
Kaiserslautern U19 win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 1–35.3%

Recent form

Hannover 96 U19

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)

Kaiserslautern U19

  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T12:05:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.