Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

4 – 2

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 09:57 UTC

Hannover 96 U19 vs Wolfsburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.87 for Wolfsburg U19, a combined total of 4.47. That distribution gives Hannover 96 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hannover 96 U19 win

53.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hannover 96 U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wolfsburg U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 19% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.87 for Wolfsburg U19, a combined 4.47 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 U19 win54%
Draw19%
Wolfsburg U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 1–15.6%

Recent form

Hannover 96 U19

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)

Wolfsburg U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 U19 win, at 53.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.