· Analysis updated 13:43 UTC
Hannover 96 vs PEC Zwolle Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Hannover 96 and 0.95 for PEC Zwolle, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Hannover 96 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hannover 96 win
67.6% probability
Expected goals
2.30 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hannover 96 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
PEC Zwolle away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 18% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Hannover 96 and 0.95 for PEC Zwolle, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–18.5%
- 3–07.9%
Recent form
Hannover 96
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T11:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Darmstadt 98 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hemelingen · 9-1 (W)
PEC Zwolle
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Cambuur · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Groningen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Feyenoord · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Rotterdam · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · H vs NEC Nijmegen · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 win, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.