Kunstrasenplatz Volksstadion · Analysis updated 22:18 UTC
Hansa Rostock II vs Mecklenburg Schwerin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Hansa Rostock II and 1.33 for Mecklenburg Schwerin, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hansa Rostock II win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hansa Rostock II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mecklenburg Schwerin away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Hansa Rostock II and 1.33 for Mecklenburg Schwerin, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–06.8%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Hansa Rostock II
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 8-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 2-2 (D)
Mecklenburg Schwerin
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Neustrelitz · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock II win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.