· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC
Hansa Rostock II vs Union Klosterfelde Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Hansa Rostock II and 1.09 for Union Klosterfelde, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hansa Rostock II win
69.8% probability
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.09
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hansa Rostock II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Union Klosterfelde away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Hansa Rostock II and 1.09 for Union Klosterfelde, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.3%
- 1–17.1%
Recent form
Hansa Rostock II
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 8-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 2-2 (D)
Union Klosterfelde
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Lichtenberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Reinickendorfer Fuchse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | BAK '07 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Siedenbollentin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Lichtenberg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Optik Rathenow | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Anker Wismar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Tennis Borussia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Lok Stendal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Union Klosterfelde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Makkabi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Neustrelitz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock II win, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.