Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1209:00

2 – 2

Saturday, 9 May 2026

· Analysis updated 21:10 UTC

Hansa Rostock U19 vs Hallescher FC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 1.99 for Hallescher FC U19, a combined total of 3.99. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

60.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.99

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hansa Rostock U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hallescher FC U19 away threat

    Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hansa Rostock U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 1.99 for Hallescher FC U19, a combined 3.99 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hansa Rostock U19 win40%
Draw21%
Hallescher FC U19 win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–14.9%

Recent form

Hansa Rostock U19

  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 1-1 (D)

Hallescher FC U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lübeck U19 · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.