Hansa Rostock U19 vs Hamburger SV U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 2.25 for Hamburger SV U19, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Hamburger SV U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hamburger SV U19 win

48.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hansa Rostock U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hamburger SV U19 away threat
Scored in 8 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hansa Rostock U19 win32%

Draw20%

Hamburger SV U19 win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

1–27.8%
2–27.2%
1–17.0%
2–16.4%
1–35.9%

Recent form

Hansa Rostock U19

2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 3-5 (L)
2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 4-4 (D)
2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 1-1 (D)

Hamburger SV U19

2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 5-6 (L)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock U19 · 5-3 (W)
2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
2026-08-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 3-5 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2024-10-01T16:30:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 4-2 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2024-09-07T12:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 1-1 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2024-04-28T11:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 1-3 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2023-11-11T13:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 0-3 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2023-02-11T12:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 0-2 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2022-02-19T12:00:00.000Z · Hansa Rostock U19 2-1 Hamburger SV U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hamburger SV U19 win, at 48.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.