· Analysis updated 18:02 UTC
Hansa Rostock U19 vs Lübeck U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.98 expected goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 2.06 for Lübeck U19, a combined total of 5.04. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hansa Rostock U19 win
56.9% probability
Expected goals
2.98 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hansa Rostock U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lübeck U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 17% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.98 goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 2.06 for Lübeck U19, a combined 5.04 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.1%
- 3–26.1%
- 2–15.9%
- 3–15.9%
- 4–24.5%
Recent form
Hansa Rostock U19
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 1-1 (D)
Lübeck U19
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock U19 win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.