· Analysis updated 23:34 UTC
Hansa Rostock U19 vs Magdeburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 2.10 for Magdeburg U19, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Magdeburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Magdeburg U19 win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hansa Rostock U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Magdeburg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Magdeburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 32% / 21% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Hansa Rostock U19 and 2.10 for Magdeburg U19, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.8%
Recent form
Hansa Rostock U19
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 1-1 (D)
Magdeburg U19
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK 07 U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Magdeburg U19 win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.