Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.45 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Hansa Rostock win

55.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hansa Rostock home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.45 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hansa Rostock win56%

Draw20%

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.1%
1–18.1%
3–16.8%
2–26.6%
2–06.3%

Recent form

Hansa Rostock

2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Essen · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Viktoria Köln · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Wehen · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T11:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Saarbrücken · 4-2 (W)

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Wehen · 1-7 (L)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Viktoria Köln · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Waldhof Mannheim · 1-5 (L)
2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	11	8	1	2	14	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	11	7	2	2	15	23
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	11	6	3	2	6	21
4	FC Saarbrücken	11	5	2	4	6	17
5	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	0	17
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	5	2	4	-1	17
7	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	3	16
8	Hoffenheim II	11	5	1	5	2	16
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	SV Wehen	11	4	3	4	3	15
11	Preußen Münster	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	Fortuna Düsseldorf	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	SV Meppen	11	4	2	5	-1	14
14	Stuttgart II	11	4	2	5	-2	14
15	Verl	11	3	3	5	-6	12
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	-12	12
17	Würzburger Kickers	11	3	2	6	-8	11
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	11	2	4	5	0	10
19	Fortuna Köln	11	2	4	5	-4	10
20	Havelse	11	2	3	6	-9	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.