Rectory Meadow · Analysis updated 14:01 UTC
Hanworth Villa vs Westfield (Surrey) Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Hanworth Villa and 1.33 for Westfield (Surrey), a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Hanworth Villa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hanworth Villa win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hanworth Villa home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Westfield (Surrey) away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–07.0%
Recent form
Hanworth Villa
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Bracknell Town · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloucester City · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leatherhead · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Chichester City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bishop's Stortford · 3-2 (W)
Westfield (Surrey)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Dartford · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Egham Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Chertsey Town · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Moneyfields · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 0-2 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 0-1 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2025-02-15T15:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 2-0 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2024-10-12T14:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 3-1 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2024-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 0-1 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2023-11-11T15:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 4-2 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2023-02-18T15:00:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 2-0 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
- 2022-11-15T19:45:00.000Z · Hanworth Villa 2-2 Westfield (Surrey) (Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central)
Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leatherhead | 42 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 96 |
| 2 | Westfield (Surrey) | 42 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 84 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 81 |
| 4 | Moneyfields | 42 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 80 |
| 5 | AFC Portchester | 42 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 73 |
| 6 | Southall | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 65 |
| 7 | Egham Town | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 64 |
| 8 | Harrow Borough | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 64 |
| 9 | Hayes & Yeading United | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | -16 | 61 |
| 10 | South Park | 42 | 17 | 8 | 17 | -1 | 59 |
| 11 | Bognor Regis Town | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 57 |
| 12 | Hartley Wintney | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 56 |
| 13 | Kingstonian | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 56 |
| 14 | Raynes Park Vale | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 53 |
| 15 | Bedfont Sports | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | -6 | 50 |
| 16 | Ascot United | 42 | 15 | 4 | 23 | -4 | 49 |
| 17 | Hendon | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | -12 | 48 |
| 18 | Binfield | 42 | 14 | 6 | 22 | -13 | 48 |
| 19 | Littlehampton Town | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | -23 | 46 |
| 20 | Metropolitan Police | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | -25 | 44 |
| 21 | Horndean | 42 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -64 | 31 |
| 22 | Fareham Town | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | -46 | 25 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hanworth Villa win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.