Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Katamon Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.66 for Hapoel Katamon, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Hapoel Ramat Gan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hapoel Ramat Gan home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hapoel Katamon away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hapoel Ramat Gan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.66 for Hapoel Katamon, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hapoel Ramat Gan win43%

Draw22%

Hapoel Katamon win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–19.1%
2–18.5%
1–27.6%
2–27.1%
1–05.5%

Recent form

Hapoel Ramat Gan

2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Petah Tikva · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Haifa · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-11T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Beitar Jerusalem · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Bnei Sakhnin · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Netanya · 2-0 (W)

Hapoel Katamon

2026-10-24T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-18T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Beer Sheva · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Haifa · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Maccabi Petah Tikva · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Ironi Tiberias · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Toto Cup Ligat Al table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hapoel Haifa	5	4	0	1	6	12
2	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	5	4	0	1	6	12
3	Hapoel Katamon	5	3	1	1	2	10
4	Maccabi Netanya	5	3	0	2	3	9
5	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	2	2	1	1	8
6	Maccabi Petah Tikva	5	2	0	3	1	6
7	Maccabi Haifa	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1	1	0	0	1	3
10	Bnei Sakhnin	5	1	0	4	-3	3
11	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	1	0	4	-5	3
12	Ironi Tiberias	5	1	0	4	-7	3
13	Beitar Jerusalem	2	0	2	0	0	2
14	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.