· Analysis updated 10:51 UTC
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Bnei Eilat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon and 0.94 for Bnei Eilat, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Hapoel Ramat HaSharon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win
58.8% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.94
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hapoel Ramat HaSharon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 23% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon and 0.94 for Bnei Eilat, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 59% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.4%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.5%
Recent form
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Bnei Eilat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
State Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gissin Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Hapoel Sderot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dimona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Ironi Nesher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Tira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Beitar Nahariya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Hapoel Azor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Maccabi Yavne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Shefa-Amr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Beitar Mevaseret Zion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Bnei Herzliya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Hapoel Herzliya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Hapoel Yarka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Hapoel Tayibe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 25 | Arad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 26 | Bnei Eilat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 27 | Bnei Yehuda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Kiryat Haim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Hapoel Rahat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Beitar Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win, at 58.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.