· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Harelbeke vs Albert Quévy-Mons Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Harelbeke and 1.87 for Albert Quévy-Mons, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Albert Quévy-Mons the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Albert Quévy-Mons win
56.2% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Harelbeke home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Albert Quévy-Mons away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Albert Quévy-Mons to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Harelbeke and 1.87 for Albert Quévy-Mons, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Harelbeke
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dessel Sport · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hoogstraten · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Merelbeke · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tienen · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Heist · 1-2 (L)
Albert Quévy-Mons
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Londerzeel · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Onhaye · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tubize · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic Charleroi · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Albert Quévy-Mons win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.