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Saturday, 4 July 2026

· Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

Haringey Borough vs Enfield Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Haringey Borough and 1.83 for Enfield Town, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Haringey Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Haringey Borough home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Enfield Town away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Haringey Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Haringey Borough and 1.83 for Enfield Town, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Haringey Borough win42%
Draw21%
Enfield Town win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–18.1%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.2%

Recent form

Haringey Borough

  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Newmarket · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enfield Town · 3-3 (D)
  • 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 1-5 (L)
  • 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Halstead Town · 3-1 (W)
  • 2025-07-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Hendon · 1-2 (L)

Enfield Town

  • 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stanway Rovers · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford City · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanwell Town · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Billericay Town · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.