Coles Park · Analysis updated 23:47 UTC
Haringey Borough vs Halstead Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Haringey Borough and 1.37 for Halstead Town, a combined total of 3.79. That distribution gives Haringey Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Haringey Borough win
60.5% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Haringey Borough home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Halstead Town away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haringey Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Haringey Borough and 1.37 for Halstead Town, a combined 3.79 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–17.5%
- 3–17.3%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.2%
Recent form
Haringey Borough
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Newmarket · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enfield Town · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 1-5 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Halstead Town · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-07-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Hendon · 1-2 (L)
Halstead Town
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Haringey Borough · 1-3 (L)
- 2024-08-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harpenden Town · 1-3 (L)
- 2023-08-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Romford · 1-4 (L)
- 2022-08-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leverstock Green · 0-3 (L)
- 2020-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leiston · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · Haringey Borough 3-1 Halstead Town (FA Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Haringey Borough win, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.