· Analysis updated 21:20 UTC
Haringey Borough vs Newmarket Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Haringey Borough and 1.64 for Newmarket, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Haringey Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.6% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Haringey Borough home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Newmarket away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haringey Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Haringey Borough and 1.64 for Newmarket, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.6%
Recent form
Haringey Borough
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Newmarket · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enfield Town · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 1-5 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Halstead Town · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-07-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Hendon · 1-2 (L)
Newmarket
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Leighton Town · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gorleston · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Canvey Island · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Canvey Island · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Haringey Borough · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.