· Analysis updated 21:46 UTC
Hartberg (Am) vs Allerheiligen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Hartberg (Am) and 1.70 for Allerheiligen, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Hartberg (Am) the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hartberg (Am) home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Allerheiligen away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hartberg (Am) to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Hartberg (Am) and 1.70 for Allerheiligen, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.4%
Recent form
Hartberg (Am)
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Lafnitz · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gleisdorf 09 · 4-1 (W)
Allerheiligen
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tillmitsch · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hartberg (Am) · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Völkermarkt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Treibach | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Austria Klagenfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Weiz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Tillmitsch | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Hartberg (Am) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Allerheiligen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 | Bleiburg | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.