· Analysis updated 13:13 UTC
Hashtag United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Hashtag United and 1.10 for Dagenham & Redbridge, a combined total of 2.44. That distribution gives Hashtag United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.3% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hashtag United home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dagenham & Redbridge away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hashtag United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 27% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Hashtag United and 1.10 for Dagenham & Redbridge, a combined 2.44 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.6%
Recent form
Hashtag United
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brentwood Town · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertford Town · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs St Albans City · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs St Albans City · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Royston Town · 3-1 (W)
Dagenham & Redbridge
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hampton & Richmond · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Waltham Abbey · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Waltham Abbey · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Weston-super-Mare · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Dover · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · Hashtag United 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.