Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium · Referee Y. Al Mulla · Analysis updated 00:34 UTC
Hatta SC vs Sharjah FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Hatta SC and 2.25 for Sharjah FC, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Sharjah FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sharjah FC win
54.5% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hatta SC home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sharjah FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sharjah FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 25% / 20% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Hatta SC and 2.25 for Sharjah FC, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.9%
- 1–17.9%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–26.0%
Recent form
Hatta SC
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:05:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-08T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Dubai United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · 2-2 (D)
Sharjah FC
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Wahda FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Hatta SC · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Al-Wasl FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Ain | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Wahda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sharjah FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Ajman | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Nasr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dubai United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Al-Dhafra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Khorfakkan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sharjah FC win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.