· Analysis updated 00:03 UTC
Havelse U19 vs Energie Cottbus U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Havelse U19 and 1.91 for Energie Cottbus U19, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Energie Cottbus U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Energie Cottbus U19 win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Havelse U19 home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Energie Cottbus U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Energie Cottbus U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 27% / 22% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Havelse U19 and 1.91 for Energie Cottbus U19, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.4%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–16.7%
Recent form
Havelse U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)
Energie Cottbus U19
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Energie Cottbus U19 win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.