Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

0 – 3

Saturday, 8 August 2026

· Analysis updated 11:07 UTC

Havelse U19 vs Hannover 96 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Havelse U19 and 2.33 for Hannover 96 U19, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Hannover 96 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hannover 96 U19 win

54.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Havelse U19 home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hannover 96 U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 26% / 20% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Havelse U19 and 2.33 for Hannover 96 U19, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Havelse U19 win26%
Draw20%
Hannover 96 U19 win55%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–28.6%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 2–15.8%

Recent form

Havelse U19

  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)

Hannover 96 U19

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 U19 win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.