· Analysis updated 19:31 UTC
Havelse U19 vs Meppen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Havelse U19 and 1.83 for Meppen U19, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Meppen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Meppen U19 win
45.0% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Havelse U19 home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Meppen U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meppen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Havelse U19 and 1.83 for Meppen U19, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.3%
Recent form
Havelse U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)
Meppen U19
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Meppen U19 win, at 45.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.