Czech-Republic · Cup · Round of 12815:00

1 – 5

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

· Analysis updated 14:46 UTC

Havlíčkův Brod vs Vysočina Jihlava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Havlíčkův Brod and 1.56 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Havlíčkův Brod the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Havlíčkův Brod home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vysočina Jihlava away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Havlíčkův Brod to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.62 goals for Havlíčkův Brod and 1.56 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Havlíčkův Brod win40%
Draw24%
Vysočina Jihlava win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 2–26.7%

Recent form

Havlíčkův Brod

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Chotebor · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Brno · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bystrc Kníničky · 0-0 (D)

Vysočina Jihlava

  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.