Algeria · Ligue 2 · Matchweek 2714:00

2 – 3

Friday, 17 April 2026

· Analysis updated 22:27 UTC

HB Chelghoum Laïd vs CR Béni Thour Prediction, Odds & Statistics

HB Chelghoum Laïd vs CR Béni Thour in the Ligue 2: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CR Béni Thour away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates HB Chelghoum Laïd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for HB Chelghoum Laïd and 1.18 for CR Béni Thour, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for HB Chelghoum Laïd or CR Béni Thour yet, so these numbers are a Ligue 2 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

HB Chelghoum Laïd win44%
Draw26%
CR Béni Thour win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

HB Chelghoum Laïd

    CR Béni Thour

    • 2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs IRB Nezla · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MSP Batna · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MO Constantine · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs MO Bejaia · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs IB Khémis El Khechna · 3-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Azazga7421514
    2MSP Batna7421314
    3USM Annaba7412613
    4JSM Skikda6402312
    5Khroub7331212
    6NC Magra7322-111
    7MO Bejaia6312310
    8MO Constantine7241110
    9CA Batna723219
    10Teleghma7223-18
    11Nrb Beni Oulbene7223-18
    12US Chaouia7223-48
    13Paradou AC621307
    14IRB Nezla6114-44
    15CR Béni Thour6105-73
    16JS Jijel6024-62
    1GC Mascara7520917
    2Blida7520917
    3RC Kouba74301015
    4MC Saida6420414
    5ASM Oran7322611
    6Usm El Harrach7322211
    7Mostaganem7322211
    8Sidi Benali7322011
    9Hussein Dey7304-19
    10WA Mostaganem7142-17
    11WA Tlemcen6213-37
    12Tiaret712415
    13RC Arba4103-53
    14El Bayadh7034-63
    15Koléa6105-83
    16Taghit7016-191

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.