Gundadalur · Referee A. Hansen · Analysis updated 14:04 UTC
HB Torshavn vs AB Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for HB Torshavn and 1.00 for AB, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives HB Torshavn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
HB Torshavn win
57.8% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HB Torshavn home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
AB away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HB Torshavn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 22% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for HB Torshavn and 1.00 for AB, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.2%
Recent form
HB Torshavn
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 2-0 (W)
AB
- 2026-10-18T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T16:15:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs HB Torshavn · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 |
| 7 | Skála | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -13 | 24 |
| 8 | AB | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 24 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -22 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HB Torshavn win, at 57.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.