Gundadalur · Analysis updated 04:20 UTC
HB Torshavn vs B36 Torshavn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for HB Torshavn and 0.95 for B36 Torshavn, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives HB Torshavn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
HB Torshavn win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HB Torshavn home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
B36 Torshavn away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HB Torshavn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 26% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for HB Torshavn and 0.95 for B36 Torshavn, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–09.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.6%
Recent form
HB Torshavn
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EB / Streymur · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
B36 Torshavn
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Skála · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-11T16:15:00.000Z · A vs AB · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs NSI Runavik · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EB / Streymur · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 7 | Skála | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 25 |
| 8 | AB | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 25 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -17 | 25 |
| 10 | B68 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -23 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HB Torshavn win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.