Gundadalur · Referee R. Gaardbo · Analysis updated 20:45 UTC
HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for HB Torshavn and 1.63 for NSI Runavik, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives HB Torshavn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HB Torshavn home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
NSI Runavik away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HB Torshavn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for HB Torshavn and 1.63 for NSI Runavik, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
Recent form
HB Torshavn
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 2-0 (W)
NSI Runavik
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 |
| 7 | Skála | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -13 | 24 |
| 8 | AB | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 24 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -22 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.