· Analysis updated 15:01 UTC
Heidenheim U19 vs 1860 München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Heidenheim U19 and 1.79 for 1860 München U19, a combined total of 4.16. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Heidenheim U19 win
51.0% probability
Expected goals
2.37 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Heidenheim U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
1860 München U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heidenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.37 goals for Heidenheim U19 and 1.79 for 1860 München U19, a combined 4.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–16.6%
- 3–16.2%
- 1–25.9%
Recent form
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 6-4 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-0 (W)
1860 München U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Heidenheim U19 win, at 51.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.