· Analysis updated 12:54 UTC
Heidenheim U19 vs Augsburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Heidenheim U19 and 1.83 for Augsburg U19, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.3% probability
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Heidenheim U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Augsburg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heidenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 21% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Heidenheim U19 and 1.83 for Augsburg U19, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.0%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.0%
- 3–15.5%
Recent form
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 6-4 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-0 (W)
Augsburg U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.