· Analysis updated 06:28 UTC
Heidenheim U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Heidenheim U19 and 2.05 for Schalke 04 U19, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
60.7% probability
Expected goals
2.08 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Heidenheim U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schalke 04 U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heidenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 20% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Heidenheim U19 and 2.05 for Schalke 04 U19, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 1–16.9%
- 3–25.1%
Recent form
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Augsburg U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg U19 · 3-3 (D)
Schalke 04 U19
- 2026-08-29T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rödinghausen U19 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.