Italy · Campionato Primavera - 1 · Matchweek 812:00

12:00 UTC

Sunday, 25 October 2026

· Analysis updated 17:50 UTC

Hellas Verona U20 vs Albinoleffe U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Hellas Verona U20 and 1.20 for Albinoleffe U20, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Hellas Verona U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Hellas Verona U20 win

55.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hellas Verona U20 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hellas Verona U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for Hellas Verona U20 and 1.20 for Albinoleffe U20, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Hellas Verona U20 win55%
Draw22%
Albinoleffe U20 win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 3–16.4%

Recent form

Hellas Verona U20

  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Torino U20 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Milan U20 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Monza U20 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-31T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Fiorentina U20 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cesena U20 · 0-1 (L)

Albinoleffe U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Campionato Primavera - 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Internazionale U2074301015
    2Parma U207430915
    3Empoli U207430415
    4Roma U207331312
    5Bologna U207403012
    6Genoa U207322311
    7Lazio U207322211
    8Lecce U207241210
    9Milan U207313010
    10Como U20723219
    11Cesena U20723209
    12Torino U207223-18
    13Sassuolo U207223-28
    14Cagliari U207223-68
    15Fiorentina U20714207
    16Hellas Verona U207214-27
    17Juventus U207133-46
    18Atalanta U207205-56
    19Monza U207124-35
    20Albinoleffe U207115-114

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Hellas Verona U20 win, at 55.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.