· Analysis updated 07:37 UTC
Hellas Verona U20 vs Pro Vercelli U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Hellas Verona U20 and 1.14 for Pro Vercelli U19, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Hellas Verona U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Hellas Verona U20 win
56.2% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hellas Verona U20 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pro Vercelli U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hellas Verona U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Hellas Verona U20 and 1.14 for Pro Vercelli U19, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
Hellas Verona U20
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Torino U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Milan U20 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Monza U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Fiorentina U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cesena U20 · 0-1 (L)
Pro Vercelli U19
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vicenza U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lecco U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Modena U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs AlbinoLeffe U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sampdoria U19 · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Coppa Italia Primavera table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudtirol U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Renate U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brescia U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Venezia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ascoli U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Udinese U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Palermo U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monopoli U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Padova U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Vicenza U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Mantova U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Latina U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Salernitana U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cittadella U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cosenza U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hellas Verona U20 win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.