· Analysis updated 14:12 UTC
Hemmingen vs Lüneburger SK Hansa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Hemmingen and 1.96 for Lüneburger SK Hansa, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Lüneburger SK Hansa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Lüneburger SK Hansa win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hemmingen home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lüneburger SK Hansa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lüneburger SK Hansa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 30% / 22% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Hemmingen and 1.96 for Lüneburger SK Hansa, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.2%
Recent form
Hemmingen
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Lohne · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bersenbrück · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 2-1 (W)
Lüneburger SK Hansa
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Lohne · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bersenbrück · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niedersachsen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Heeslinger SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 22 |
| 3 | Wilhelmshaven | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Spelle-Venhaus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Borussia Hildesheim | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Bersenbrück | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Meppen II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Nordhorn | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 12 |
| 11 | Verden 04 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Germania Egestorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Hemmingen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -19 | 7 |
| 14 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Vorsfelde | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -19 | 5 |
| 16 | Drochtersen/Assel II | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lüneburger SK Hansa win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.