Hemmingen vs Meppen II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Hemmingen and 2.41 for Meppen II, a combined total of 4.21. That distribution gives Meppen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Meppen II win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 2.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hemmingen home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Meppen II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meppen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 29% / 19% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Hemmingen and 2.41 for Meppen II, a combined 4.21 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hemmingen win29%

Draw19%

Meppen II win52%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Over 3.5 goals61%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

1–27.7%
2–27.0%
1–16.4%
1–36.2%
2–15.8%

Recent form

Hemmingen

2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Lohne · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bersenbrück · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen II · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 2-1 (W)

Meppen II

2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vorsfelde · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordhorn · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spelle-Venhaus · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Egestorf · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bersenbrück · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heeslinger SC	10	6	3	1	17	21
2	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	6	2	2	15	20
3	Wilhelmshaven	9	6	2	1	13	20
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	9	6	2	1	10	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	6	1	2	7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	5	3	1	7	18
7	BW Lohne	9	4	2	3	4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	4	1	4	2	13
9	Meppen II	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	3	2	5	-13	11
11	Verden 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	2	1	6	-15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	9	0	6	3	-3	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	1	2	7	-17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	1	0	8	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Meppen II win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.