· Analysis updated 03:54 UTC
Hendon vs Hullbridge Sports Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Hendon and 1.91 for Hullbridge Sports, a combined total of 4.19. That distribution gives Hendon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hendon win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hendon home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hullbridge Sports away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hendon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 20% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Hendon and 1.91 for Hullbridge Sports, a combined 4.19 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.6%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–15.7%
Recent form
Hendon
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Berkhamsted · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hullbridge Sports · 7-3 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hastings United · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Ware · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Egham Town · 2-2 (D)
Hullbridge Sports
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hendon · 3-7 (L)
- 2026-07-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brentwood Town · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brightlingsea Regent · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Basildon United · 3-1 (W)
- 2024-08-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grays Athletic · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hendon win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.