· Analysis updated 09:04 UTC
Héroes de Zaci vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.55 expected goals for Héroes de Zaci and 1.80 for Delfines Coatzacoalcos, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Delfines Coatzacoalcos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Delfines Coatzacoalcos win
67.7% probability
Expected goals
0.55 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Delfines Coatzacoalcos away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Delfines Coatzacoalcos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 11% / 22% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.55 goals for Héroes de Zaci and 1.80 for Delfines Coatzacoalcos, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
32%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
89%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.2%
- 0–215.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–39.3%
Recent form
Héroes de Zaci
- 2026-10-25T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Dragones de Oaxaca · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z · A vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acatlan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Correcaminos UAT II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Saltillo · 2-2 (D)
Delfines Coatzacoalcos
- 2026-10-25T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaqueros Reynosa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Calor de San Pedro · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Artesanos Metepec · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Guerreros del Pacifico · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Dragones de Oaxaca · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Liga Premier Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 1 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Artesanos Metepec | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Delfines Coatzacoalcos win, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.