· Analysis updated 04:41 UTC
Hertha BSC U19 vs Babelsberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Hertha BSC U19 and 2.85 for Babelsberg U19, a combined total of 5.05. That distribution gives Babelsberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Babelsberg U19 win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 2.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hertha BSC U19 home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Babelsberg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Babelsberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 30% / 18% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Hertha BSC U19 and 2.85 for Babelsberg U19, a combined 5.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.3%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–25.7%
- 1–35.4%
- 3–24.6%
Recent form
Hertha BSC U19
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 1-5 (L)
Babelsberg U19
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 5-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Babelsberg U19 win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.