Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary12:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 12:08 UTC

Hertha BSC U19 vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Hertha BSC U19 and 1.18 for Eintracht Braunsch U19, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives Hertha BSC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hertha BSC U19 win

72.3% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.88 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hertha BSC U19 home form

    6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Braunsch U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hertha BSC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 15% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.88 goals for Hertha BSC U19 and 1.18 for Eintracht Braunsch U19, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hertha BSC U19 win72%
Draw15%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 2–18.4%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 1–15.8%

Recent form

Hertha BSC U19

  • 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Unterrath U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)

Eintracht Braunsch U19

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC U19 win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.