Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC

Hertha BSC U19 vs Hallescher FC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Hertha BSC U19 and 1.37 for Hallescher FC U19, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Hertha BSC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hertha BSC U19 win

63.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hertha BSC U19 home form

    6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hallescher FC U19 away threat

    Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hertha BSC U19 win64%
Draw18%
Hallescher FC U19 win19%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 2–18.7%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–06.4%
  • 2–26.0%

Recent form

Hertha BSC U19

  • 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Unterrath U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)

Hallescher FC U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lübeck U19 · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 0-1 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 3-2 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 2-4 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2024-12-07T12:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 5-1 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2024-09-21T11:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 3-2 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2022-04-30T11:00:00.000Z · Hertha BSC U19 2-1 Hallescher FC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC U19 win, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.