· Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Hertha BSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Hertha Zehlendorf and 3.95 for Hertha BSC, a combined total of 5.08. That distribution gives Hertha BSC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hertha BSC win
85.3% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 3.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hertha Zehlendorf home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC away threat
Scored in 8 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha BSC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 6% / 9% / 85% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Hertha Zehlendorf and 3.95 for Hertha BSC, a combined 5.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
15%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.2%
- 1–47.1%
- 0–36.4%
- 0–46.3%
- 1–55.6%
Recent form
Hertha Zehlendorf
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-1 (L)
Hertha BSC
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Augsburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Dresden · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VfL Osnabrück · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC win, at 85.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.