· Analysis updated 06:23 UTC
Hestrafor vs Torslanda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Hestrafor and 1.61 for Torslanda, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Hestrafor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hestrafor win
51.7% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Torslanda away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hestrafor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Hestrafor and 1.61 for Torslanda, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.2%
Recent form
Hestrafor
Torslanda
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Onsala · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Västra Frölunda · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Landvetter IS · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lindome · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Västra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landvetter IS | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Dalstorps | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Jonsered | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 42 |
| 4 | Hestrafor | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Västra Frölunda | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Qviding FIF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Böljan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Lindome | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Torslanda | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Onsala | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Kongahälla | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Åstorp | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Galtabacks | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Astrio | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hestrafor win, at 51.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.