Sportpark de Boshoek · Analysis updated 14:35 UTC
HHC vs De Treffers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for HHC and 2.00 for De Treffers, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives De Treffers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
De Treffers win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HHC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
De Treffers away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
HHC
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ijsselmeervogels · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Quick Boys · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Barendrecht · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozakken Boys · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:15:00.000Z · A vs AFC Amsterdam · 2-2 (D)
De Treffers
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Almere City II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Barendrecht · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Hoek · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spakenburg · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T12:30:00.000Z · HHC 2-2 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2026-01-31T17:00:00.000Z · HHC 2-1 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2025-09-06T12:30:00.000Z · HHC 1-0 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2025-04-05T16:00:00.000Z · HHC 2-2 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2024-10-26T12:30:00.000Z · HHC 2-3 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2024-04-13T12:30:00.000Z · HHC 1-3 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2023-11-11T17:00:00.000Z · HHC 1-1 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2023-02-25T13:30:00.000Z · HHC 3-1 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2022-09-07T18:00:00.000Z · HHC 2-5 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
- 2022-05-28T13:30:00.000Z · HHC 1-1 De Treffers (Tweede Divisie)
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 25 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Kozakken Boys | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Ijsselmeervogels | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | HHC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Barendrecht | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | GVVV Veenendaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | RKAV Volendam | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Katwijk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Almere City II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Hoek | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -23 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is De Treffers win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.