Sportpark de Boshoek · Analysis updated 13:57 UTC
HHC vs GVVV Veenendaal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.63 expected goals for HHC and 1.60 for GVVV Veenendaal, a combined total of 4.23. That distribution gives HHC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
HHC win
59.6% probability
Expected goals
2.63 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HHC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GVVV Veenendaal away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HHC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 18% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.63 goals for HHC and 1.60 for GVVV Veenendaal, a combined 4.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–16.1%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
HHC
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ijsselmeervogels · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Quick Boys · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Barendrecht · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozakken Boys · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:15:00.000Z · A vs AFC Amsterdam · 2-2 (D)
GVVV Veenendaal
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs HHC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Ijsselmeervogels | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Kozakken Boys | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | HHC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Barendrecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | GVVV Veenendaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | RKAV Volendam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Katwijk | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Almere City II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | AFC Amsterdam | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Hoek | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -24 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HHC win, at 59.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.