Sportpark de Boshoek · Analysis updated 16:55 UTC
HHC vs Kozakken Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for HHC and 2.10 for Kozakken Boys, a combined total of 3.89. That distribution gives Kozakken Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kozakken Boys win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HHC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kozakken Boys away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kozakken Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 33% / 21% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for HHC and 2.10 for Kozakken Boys, a combined 3.89 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–35.7%
Recent form
HHC
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ijsselmeervogels · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Quick Boys · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Barendrecht · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozakken Boys · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:15:00.000Z · A vs AFC Amsterdam · 2-2 (D)
Kozakken Boys
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spakenburg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Groesbeek · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs HHC · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Ijsselmeervogels | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | GVVV Veenendaal | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | HHC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Barendrecht | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | AFC Amsterdam | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | RKAV Volendam | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Katwijk | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Almere City II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Hoek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Kloetinge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Koninklijke HFC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kozakken Boys win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.