· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
Hilden vs SG Wattenscheid 09 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for Hilden and 0.78 for SG Wattenscheid 09, a combined total of 2.32. That distribution gives Hilden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.
Model pick
Hilden to Win
55.3% probability
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.1%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–011.6%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.1%
Why the model likes this
Hilden home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hilden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 26% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.54 goals for Hilden and 0.78 for SG Wattenscheid 09, a combined 2.32 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
Hilden
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SG Wattenscheid 09 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sportfreunde Siegen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bocholt · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wulfrath · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Meerbusch · 4-0 (W)
SG Wattenscheid 09
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfalia Rhynern | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Gutersloh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Hilden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Köln II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Bocholt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bergisch Gladbach | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Paderborn II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Rodinghausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bonner SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Wiedenbrück | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.