· Analysis updated 13:48 UTC
Hinna vs Viking II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Hinna and 3.05 for Viking II, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Viking II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Viking II win
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 3.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hinna home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viking II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viking II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 18% / 16% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Hinna and 3.05 for Viking II, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–35.8%
- 2–25.7%
- 1–45.4%
Recent form
Hinna
- 2026-09-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Haugesund II · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Madla · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vindbjart · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Våg · 3-0 (W)
Viking II
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vindbjart · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Våg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Staal Jørpeland · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Varhaug · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 48 |
| 2 | Mandalskameratene | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | Vindbjart | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Varhaug | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Viking II | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 |
| 7 | Brodd | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Våg | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Odd II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Staal Jørpeland | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Haugesund II | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 | Hinna | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -25 | 23 |
| 14 | Åkra | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -41 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viking II win, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.