Ukraine · Druha Liga · Matchweek 2409:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 4 April 2026

Yunist Stadium · Analysis updated 02:38 UTC

Hirnyk-Sport vs Chayka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Hirnyk-Sport vs Chayka in the Druha Liga: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hirnyk-Sport home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hirnyk-Sport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Hirnyk-Sport and 1.18 for Chayka, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Hirnyk-Sport or Chayka yet, so these numbers are a Druha Liga scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Hirnyk-Sport win44%
Draw26%
Chayka win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Hirnyk-Sport

  • 2026-05-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trostianets · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Kyiv · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinaz Vyshhorod · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Penuel · 2-3 (L)

Chayka

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Druha Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bratslav Vinnytsia117401725
    1Karbon Cherkasy95311118
    2Dnister Zalishchyky11632621
    2Lozova10514-116
    3Nyva Vinnytsya11551720
    3Rebel9423314
    4Vilkhivtsi11353-214
    4SC Poltava 211425-214
    5Podillya Khmelnytskyi10415-413
    5Trostianets10352314
    6Nyva Ternopil II11335-712
    6Atlet9342413
    7Skala 1911 Stryi10325-411
    7Oleksandria II11344013
    8Dinaz Vyshhorod11155-108
    8Metalurh Zaporizhya10334-112
    9Ruh Lviv10127-35
    9Penuel11227-178

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.