Kaurialan kentta · Analysis updated 10:10 UTC
HJS Akatemia vs NJS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.90 expected goals for HJS Akatemia and 0.61 for NJS, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives HJS Akatemia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
HJS Akatemia win
83.7% probability
Expected goals
2.90 – 0.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
HJS Akatemia home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
NJS away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HJS Akatemia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.90 goals for HJS Akatemia and 0.61 for NJS, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.6%
- 3–012.2%
- 4–08.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–17.7%
Recent form
HJS Akatemia
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs P-Iirot · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ÅIFK · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs EPS · 1-4 (L)
NJS
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs P-Iirot · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ÅIFK · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HJS Akatemia win, at 83.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.