Hlinsko vs Letohrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.22 expected goals for Hlinsko and 1.42 for Letohrad, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Hlinsko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Hlinsko win

72.4% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.22 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hlinsko home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Letohrad away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hlinsko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.22 goals for Hlinsko and 1.42 for Letohrad, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hlinsko win72%

Draw14%

Letohrad win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals84%

Over 3.5 goals68%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

3–17.6%
2–17.1%
4–16.1%
3–25.4%
3–05.3%

Recent form

Hlinsko

2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Přepeře · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Trutnov · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 6-0 (W)

Letohrad

2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Police n/Metují · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kosmonosy · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vysoké Mýto · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Přepeře · 1-8 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vysoké Mýto	11	9	2	0	18	29
2	Přepeře	11	9	0	2	23	27
3	Kosmonosy	11	8	1	2	17	25
4	Trutnov	11	7	1	3	7	22
5	Turnov	11	6	2	3	10	20
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	11	6	2	3	10	20
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	11	6	2	3	6	20
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Kolín	11	4	3	4	2	15
10	Dvůr Králové	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Hlinsko	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	11	3	2	6	-8	11
13	Vykan	11	3	1	7	-4	10
14	Svitavy	11	1	2	8	-17	5
15	Letohrad	11	0	2	9	-25	2
16	Chrudim II	11	0	2	9	-31	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hlinsko win, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.